Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.181727 2.515326 2.889090 3.340038 3.870893 4.477793 5.226811
2025-03-09 1.687339 2.128143 2.674021 3.404879 4.365564 5.595980 7.308352
2025-03-16 1.393005 1.862758 2.484046 3.375918 4.639818 6.391545 9.046623
2025-03-23 1.197648 1.677764 2.347086 3.363804 4.896518 7.165349 10.862270
2025-03-30 1.038946 1.512869 2.203317 3.303518 5.052175 7.792487 12.550710
2025-04-06 0.941853 1.420447 2.146249 3.354809 5.372432 8.708069 14.861057
2025-04-13 0.835654 1.298513 2.024975 3.281457 5.470789 9.264740 16.650129
2025-04-20 0.790066 1.265082 2.036900 3.424388 5.950423 10.546372 20.011539
2025-04-27 0.724362 1.190186 1.970029 3.419814 6.162734 11.372943 22.657601
2025-05-04 0.687129 1.158371 1.971193 3.534196 6.608840 12.712029 26.636974
2025-05-11 0.639219 1.102339 1.922585 3.548164 6.859975 13.701671 30.073917
2025-05-18 0.596323 1.050483 1.875149 3.556817 7.099249 14.703260 33.760552
2025-05-25 0.543154 0.980034 1.795976 3.514773 7.276597 15.716841 38.041808
2025-06-01 0.506641 0.938004 1.768485 3.580718 7.716637 17.460956 44.836182
2025-06-08 0.464672 0.879972 1.701202 3.550207 7.930961 18.717147 50.732404
2025-06-15 0.429605 0.831311 1.646283 3.537388 8.183699 20.128208 57.565733
2025-06-22 0.394116 0.777656 1.574061 3.473627 8.299051 21.209444 63.789156
2025-06-29 0.372340 0.749991 1.553727 3.527874 8.725682 23.246781 73.884715
2025-07-06 0.342644 0.702188 1.483381 3.450296 8.789140 24.266745 80.908295
2025-07-13 0.332255 0.695185 1.503673 3.601472 9.511371 27.443720 97.132566
2025-07-20 0.312181 0.664444 1.465514 3.596633 9.789991 29.318408 109.197014
2025-07-27 0.301651 0.654211 1.474395 3.717642 10.467004 32.688206 129.031333
2025-08-03 0.285685 0.629694 1.445853 3.732421 10.823842 35.076530 145.823184